The experts predict the Academy Awards nominations

So after hours of reading hundreds of websites (including Ebert, moviephone, etc) apredicting who was going to be nominated for the Academy Awards on Tuesday I finally made a thorough list. I’m also predicting who will win the 2010 awards as January 30th 2010. This are the most likely nominees for the 2010 Academy Awards:

Best Picture:

People still don’t know how the expansion to 10 categories will play out, but this is what I can gather so far. The last two slots are not certain:

1. Avatar
2. The Hurt Locker
3. Up in the Air
4. Up
5. Precious: based on the novel Push by Sapphire
6. An Education
7. Invictus
8. Inglourious Basterds
9. A serious Man
10. A single Man

Winner as of January 30th: The Hurt Locker (this may change)

Best Actor:

This one is easy, you just see the SAG awards nominees for best motion picture drama. Normally there is one or two that will join them from the comedy side, but there were no strong comedic performances this year.

1. Jeff Bridges, A Crazy Heart
2. Colin Firth, A single man
3. George Clooney, Up in the Air
4. Morgan Freeman, Invictus
5. Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker

Winner as of January 30th: Jeff Bridges (this is not going to change)

Best Actress:

Really, there is only two actresses competing for this award: Sandra Bullock and Meryl Streep. Forget the rest.

1. Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
2. Meryl Streep - Julie and Julia
3. Carey Mulligan - An education
4. Helen Mirren - The Last station
5. Gabourey Sibide - Precious: based on the novel Push by Sapphire

Winner as of January 30th: Sandra Bullock (this may change)

Best supporting Actress:

This one has the last two slots up for grabs actually. Not that easy to make a prediction.

1. Mo’nique - Precious
2. Anna Kendrick - Up in the air
3. Vera Farmiga - Up in the air
4. Penelope Cruz - Nine
5. Diane Kruger - Inglourious Basterds.

Winner as of January 30th: Mo’nique (this is not going to change)

Best supporting Actor :

The last slot is not certain. The rest are. And you know who is going to win.

1. Christoph Waltz - Inglourious Basterds
2. Woody Harrelson - The messenger
3. Stanley Tucci - The Lovely Bones
4. Christopher Plummer - The last station
5. Alfred Molina - An education

Winner as of January 30th: Christoph Waltz (this is not going to change)

Best Director:

The five are set in stone, but the winner is a topic of heated debate. The DGA will help determine, but there might be a surprise in this category.

1. Kathryn Bigelow - The Hurt Locker
2. James Cameron - Avatar
3. Jason Reitman - Up in the air
4. Quentin Tarantino - Inglourious Basterds
5. Lee Daniels: Precious

Winner as of January 30th: Kathryn Bigelow (this may change)

Best Adapted Screenplay

A hard one, the last two slots are really uncertain although one of them will get it for sure. 

1. An education – Nick Hornby
2. Precious – Geoffrey Fletcher
3. Up in the air – Jason Reitman
4. District 9 - Neill Blomkamp
5. Julie and Julia – Nora ephron

Winner as of January 30th: Up in the Air(this may change… unfortunately)

Best Original Screenplay

Pretty much set.

1. The Hurt Locker – Mark Boal
2. Inglourious Basterds – Quentin Tarantino
3. A serious Man - Joel and Ethan Coen
4. Up - Bob Peterson
5. (500) days of Summer - Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber

Winner as of January 30th: Inglourious Basterds (this is not going to change)

Best Documentary

The only slots that are certain are the top 2 actually.

1. The Cove
2. Food Inc.
3. Mugabe and the white African
4. The most dangerous man in America:  Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers
5. The beaches of Agnes

Winner as of January 30th: The Cove (this is not going to change)

Animated Feature film

The last spot is not certain at all.

1. Up
2. The fantastic Mr. Fox
3. The Princess and the frog
4. Coraline
5. Ponyo
   

Winner as of January 30th: Up (this is not going to change)

Best foreign language film

The last two spots are not certain. And not a lot of people write about this category believe it or not, mainly because it is hard to get access to this films. Also, this is the hardest category to predict, because it is not the academy choosing, it is a special committee.

1. The white Ribbon (Germany)
2. A prophet (France)
3. The Secret in their eyes (Argentina)
4. Winter in Wartime (Netherlands)
5. Ajami (Israel)

Winner as of January 30th: The white ribbon (this is not going to change)

Taken from my Examiner article here.

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